League: Portuguese Primeira Liga
Boavista vs Pacos Ferreira
Pick: Under 2.5 Match Goals
REASON FOR THIS FREE TIP:
- Eight of the last nine Boavista home league games have featured fewer than three goals.
- 12 of Pacos Ferreira’s 17 away league games last season featured fewer than three goals.
- The last five meetings between the sides have each seen fewer than three goals scored.
- Boavista have not lost any of their last seven meetings with Pacos Ferreira (won 4, drawn 3).
Chequered Ones can test bruised visitors
Boavista and Pacos Ferreira had very different seasons in 2020-21, but there shouldn’t be much between them on Monday. The Chequered Ones battled relegation for the latter half of the last campaign and were hit by a Fifa registration ban this summer.
Meanwhile, Pacos recorded their highest league placing in eight years to enter qualifying for the new Europa Conference League and can look forward to visiting Tottenham Hotspur Stadium next week.
That tie could be a distraction here, while the Beavers may also be feeling a few bumps and bruises from a rugged second-leg encounter with Larne last Thursday that ended in a 1-0 defeat.
Boavista will be boosted by the availability of centre back Chidoze Awaziem, who was prevented from playing against Gil Vicente last Monday and sorely missed in a 3-0 loss.
We expect Boavista, who have not lost to Pacos in their last seven meetings, to be much sturdier and like the look of Under 2.5 goals for Monday’s matchup.
Over 70% of the visitors’ away Primeira Liga games last season featured fewer than three goals while an Under 2.5 goals bet would have landed in eight of the last nine Boavista home matches. We’re predicting a 1-1 outcome because Boavista are not as bad as last week’s away defeat suggests.